Did QE3 Just Get A Little More Likely?

Wow, so we just printed 69,000 while the street was looking for 150,000 out of the NFP jobs report and last month was revised down, while China had a sub-par PMI reporting of 50.4 this morning, things aren’t looking pretty. The Dow drops 200+ and the S&P breaks the previous low on the jobs news and we have a strong dollar, not great GDP growth from yesterday, weak jobs numbers  equities aren’t doing anybody any favors, and new all-time low in 10-year yields. The June FOMC meeting should be really interesting pertaining to QE 3, all the domino’s are practically inline for add’l easing.  

Junk bonds had a rough day yesterday, putting the junk-investment grade ratio to a new low, diverting from equities.Which makes today’s nearly 2% (pre-market as I write this) drop not a HUGE surprise, outside of the weak economic data.  

I looked yesterday morning at the spike in selling volume and discussed how the line in the sand was the 360-MA, well that moving average wasn’t able to hold up to the economic pressures so far this morning. We still have ISM data at 10am, so the fun isn’t over yet!  

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About Andrew Thrasher

Andrew Thrasher is a Portfolio Manager for an asset management firm in Central Indiana. He specializes and writes about technical analysis as well as macro economic developments.