Weekly Technical Market Outlook 4/21/2014

I hope everyone had a good weekend and a Happy Easter. I was out-of-town visiting family this past weekend so I did not have time to write a full Technical Market Outlook, but I do want to share a few thoughts….

-With the bullish move we had last week the trend of the S&P 500 ($SPX) is back above its 20-day and 100-day moving averages. The 100-MA has been an important level of support for the current up trend and it was good to see it hold on that short-term drop.

-Breadth has improved along with momentum as the Relative Strength Index held the level of support I mentioned last week. The NYSE Advance-Decline Line hit a new high but the Common Stock-Only Advance-Decline Line has yet to break out.

-This week I’ll be keeping a close eye on commodities. Specifically the PowerShares Multi-Sector Agriculture ETF ($DBA), which is closing in on its March high of about $29. I’m looking to see if ag commodities can break out or if the divergence that may be developing in momentum and volume keep this asset class from experiencing a second leg higher.

Be sure to check back later this week I’ll have some more content up on the blog. Have a great week!

Disclaimer: Do not construe anything written in this post or this blog in its entirety as a recommendation, research, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Everything in this post is meant for educational and entertainment purposes only. I or my affiliates may hold positions in securities mentioned in the blog. Please see my Disclosure page for full disclaimer. Connect with Andrew on Google+, Twitter, and StockTwits.

About Andrew Thrasher, CMT

Andrew Thrasher, CMT is a Portfolio Manager for Financial Enhancement Group, LLC, an asset management firm in Central Indiana and founder of Thrasher Analytics, an independent financial market research firm. He specializes in technical analysis as well as macro economic developments.